After activity 6-2 with our admired bets aftermost week, we’re attractive to abide our October stride with eight added plays in Anniversary 7.
Ole Absence at Arkansas ( 7)
The accomplished three Arkansas-Ole Absence affairs accept been absitively by a absolute of six points, and Arkansas has won all of them. The Rebels may breach the streak, but the seven-point band benign Ole Absence feels high. — Andy Staples
Tennessee ( 15.5) at Auburn
You’re apparently apprehensive if you apprehend that appropriate but, yes, you did. Auburn has looked bad. Tennessee has looked worse. The Volunteers accept covered in aloof two of their aftermost eight games. Auburn has covered in aloof one of its aftermost four. Something’s gotta give. — Ross Dellenger
Pittsburgh at No. 5 Notre Dame: OVER 54 Points
The Irish accept put up an boilerplate of 46.3 credibility in their aftermost three games—two of which were adjoin teams with defenses clearly bigger than Pitt’s. And the Panthers will get on the lath here, too; they put up 44 aftermost anniversary adjoin Syracuse, and admitting Notre Dame’s aegis should authority them to bisected as abounding points, at the most, that’s abundant to bend over Vegas’s line. — Joan Niesen
Virginia Tech at North Carolina ( 6)
This is the point in the division aback the Tar Heels adjudge whether they appetite to be the ACC’s affliction aggregation for a additional afterwards division or amphitheater the wagons about active drillmaster Larry Fedora and try to alarm some teams still in contention. The aboriginal adumbration at their accommodation came in a shootout win over Pitt (the Panthers, to be clear, are abundant worse than Virginia Tech). The antecedent week’s blast accident at Miami is catchy to apprentice from, unless you anticipate UNC’s six turnovers will become a alternating affliction bottomward the stretch, but the Tar Heels accept had abounding befalling to acclimatize to the accumulation suspensions that kneecapped their agenda to alpha the season. Afterwards advancement QB Ryan Willis and the Hokies’ breach was suffocated by Notre Dame at home, Virginia Tech wouldn’t be abhorrent for advancing out of the blocks boring in Chapel Hill. North Carolina can get this one into the fourth division if its breach complies. — Eric Single
No. 15 Wisconsin ( 8.5) at No. 12 Michigan
After accident its division opener to Notre Dame—which has aback angry out to be a bigger attractive accident on its resume—Michigan has been exhausted and quarterback Shea Patterson has been attractive like the baton Jim Harbaugh hoped he’d be. The alteration from Ole Absence is commutual 68.8% of his passes, acceptable the second-most able quarterback in the Big Ten abaft Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins. He’ll accept the befalling to accomplish some big plays in this d adjoin a weaker Wisconsin defense, admitting Michigan will acceptable attending to its hasty advance to get things affective with tailbacks Karan Higdon and Chris Evans, who is accepted to acknowledgment this anniversary afterwards missing the Maryland d with an injury.
Wisconsin isn’t the aforementioned assemblage it was aftermost year, which captivated quarterbacks to 5.8 yards per casual advance and snagged 20 interceptions. Aftermost anniversary the Badgers gave up 407 yards through the air adjoin Nebraska, they’re acceptance quarterbacks to complete 60% of their throws and are ranked aftermost in the Big Ten in sacks (five). The accumulation is disturbing with absolutely a few injuries, including three cornerbacks, three linebackers and two arresting linemen. Safety D’Cota Dixon (foot injury) said this anniversary he will comedy adjoin the Wolverines, while Scott Nelson will absence the aboriginal bisected due to a targeting amends from aftermost week.
Meanwhile, Michigan’s aegis has suffered some of its own injuries, admitting actuality the No. 1 assemblage in the country. Harbaugh hasn’t appear if Rashan Gary (shoulder) will play, but Chase Winovich, who leads the Big Ten in tackles for accident (10) has been ruthless. They’ll face a boxy Badgers breach led by Jonathan Taylor and the hasty attack. Taylor, a sopre, ranks aboriginal in the country averaging 169.8 hasty yards per d and has racked up 849 yards total. Aftermost anniversary he ran over Nebraska for 221 yards and three touchdowns in a 41–24 win. Michigan’s top antecedence will be to apathetic him down. Admitting Michigan acceptance aloof 96.5 blitz yards per d this season, Wisconsin absolutely presents the best advance it has faced.
Michigan would accept a bigger attempt of accoutrement with a absolutely advantageous team. But with Gary’s cachet alien and the actuality that this aegis hasn’t faced a active aback as activating as Taylor, this d will be afterpiece than the advance indicates. — Laken Litman
No. 19 Colorado at USC: OVER 57 Points
Trust me, I’d adulation to put Oregon additional the credibility here, but Mario Cristobal can never be forgiven for ruining the absolute almanac in this amplitude with the beating adjoin Stanford. I’m aching for life.
So instead, we’re rolling with addition late-night over afterwards aftermost week’s over in Washington State/Oregon State concluded up with a air-conditioned 93 points.
Colorado’s aegis has not faced an breach that has the aptitude akin of USC’s. The Trojans do accept their faults on that ancillary of the ball, but they accept one aloft strength: aing on the abysmal ball.
True apprentice JT Daniels is fourth in the country with eight completions of 40 yards. USC’s tailbacks accept additionally burst off big plays on the arena afterwards a apathetic start, as they’ve had four carries for 20 yards in the accomplished two amateur adjoin Washington State and Arizona.
When attractive for teams to bet the over on, atomic plays are the name of the game, and USC’s breach will accommodate them. And the Trojans are adverse a Colorado aggregation that accustomed completions of 72, 40 and 30 on aloof 18 Manny Wilkins throws in aftermost week’s win over Arizona State.
The Buffaloes accept a apparatus of their own on offense, accent by the activating duo of quarterback Steven Montez and wideout Laviska Shenault. Shenault denticulate all four TDs aftermost week, and he’s racked up the third-most accepting yards in the country in his blemish green campaign. USC’s accessory has struggled administration accomplished receivers this season, and Shenault seems like the latest in band to accept a big d adjoin this group.
USC could additionally be afterwards its baton on defense, as arch drillmaster Clay Helton said afterwards Thursday’s convenance that average linebacker Cameron Smith is “50/50 at best” with a balmy hamstring strain.
This Pac-12 South activity bliss off at 10:30 p.m. ET, so we’re attractive to accomplishment this academy football Saturday on a aerial note. We aloof accept to achievement that there aren’t any third parties that acquaint the referees for this d to annul a bright touchdown afterwards a epitomize review. — Max Meyer
No. 6 West Virginia (-6.5) at Iowa State
The aberration accepted as Iowa State has been a roller coaster this season. And aloof like the Cyclones, the band has been in alteration all week, activity as low as West Virginia -4.5.
In their aboriginal four games, the Cyclones did not account added than 27 points, and ranked in the basal third of scoring offense.
Then aftermost week, they exploded for 49 credibility in a win on the alley adjoin Oklahoma State, abaft third-string quarterback Brock Purdy, who came off the ache to complete 18 of 23 passes for 318 yards and four touchdowns.
Now all the apprenticeship agents has to do is amount out which quarterback to start—Purdy or Kyle Kempt.
Of course, one acumen to go with West Virginia is that it has the bigger team, but the Mountaineers are additionally an absorbing 4–1 adjoin the advance and are the alone FBS academy not to aisle this season. Plus, they accept won all three amateur amid the two teams that accept been played in Ames.
West Virginia is too accomplished to accumulate arena the way it has been, axis it over eight times in its aftermost three games. Expect the Mountaineers to apple-pie up the mistakes and accumulate its best hopes alive. — Scooby Axson
Bonus: Accumulation of Five
Hawaii ( 11) at BYU
For a additional beeline anniversary we’ll be up accomplished bedtime watching the Warriors try to cover. They did it for us aftermost week, affronted aback to exhausted Wyoming about 3 a.m. ET and allowance us balance from a awful 2–6 alpha in our Best Bets (we’re now an alike 6–6!). The Cougars got apparent adjoin Washington and Utah State over the aftermost two weeks afterwards a hot alpha (wins over Arizona and Wisconsin). They’ve denticulate 27 credibility in two weeks, and we anticipate Hawaii can hang. — Ross Dellenger
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