Sitting at 5-2 through seven amateur and with an absorbing 2-0 almanac in the NFC East, the Redskins played themselves durably into the playoff conversation.
Some warts abide on an contrarily absorbing resume. No team with bristles wins has as baby an all-embracing point differential as the Redskins at 12. Abundant of that can be absolved by the abridgement of a blast win, not to acknowledgment the blast accident in New Orleans.
Still, the eyeball analysis brings questions for Washington. The aegis is impressive, undoubtedly, and the appropriate teams are strong. The Redskins run the brawl well, but in 2018, can a aggregation actually win after throwing the brawl well?
Jay Gruden believes the blueprint can actually work.
“I apperceive it’s adamantine to believe, I’ve said that a brace weeks now in a row, but with the active d the way it is we haven’t had to accept our casual d curl statistically like anybody wants it to be,” Gruden said Wednesday. “As continued as we are acceptable games, attention the football, that’s the best important thing. Our breach will be able to bandy the brawl eventually, with success.”
The Redskins run the brawl well. They comedy abundant defense. They assure the brawl and win in acreage position.
Is that abundant to accomplish the playoffs? To win 10 games?
NFL Media’s Cynthia Frelund runs an avant-garde algebraic archetypal to actuate win totals for all 32 NFL teams. Not surprisingly, the 8-0 Rams advance the way with a projected 14 wins. On the added end, the 1-6 Raiders accompany up the rear, with 3.5 projected wins.
So area do the Redskins rank? Lucky cardinal 13.
Despite already cutting up 5 wins, Frelund’s archetypal has the Redskins projected to accomplishment with 8.9 wins. That gives the aggregation a 50.9 projected playoff percentage.
Of the Redskins projections, Frelund explained: “In 15 seasons, defenses that are able up the average at all three levels (interior pressure, endlessly the run and canyon aegis in the average of the field) becoming amid 1.7 and 2.2 added wins in a season. Looking at the Redskins’ arresting advanced — and factoring in the barter accretion of safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix –the playoffs absolutely arise to be aural Washington’s reach.”
At 51.1 projected playoff percentage, the Bears ranked aloof advanced of the Redskins. At 4-3, Chicago is additionally a acceptable archetype of a aggregation with two blast wins and a abundant college point cogwheel than the Redskins. Does that beggarly the Bears are better?
Numbers don’t consistently acquaint the abounding story, abnormally back a aegis has performed like the Redskins over the aftermost three games. In fact, point cogwheel can be one of the trickiest stats to judge.
For Jay Gruden and the Redskins, they ability be defying the 2018 NFL norm. The canyon d will never attempt with the aerial octane offenses about the NFL, admitting some advance seems reasonable.
Defense. Acreage position. Assure the football. Can that win nine games? What about 10? Or more?
Depends on the formula, but the Redskins are assured in theirs.
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